Winter storm Monday and Tuesday; updated snow forecast

Updated at 7:20 p.m. Sunday

Reading 44 degrees in Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport at 11:36 a.m. today was the Twin Cities’ hottest official temperature since hitting 58 degrees on December 15, 2021. That 44 degree temperature felt like spring; 44 is our average maximum temperature in the Twin Cities on March 20. Our average maximum temperature in the Twin Cities is 30 degrees on February 20.

There were plenty of 40s in the southern third of Minnesota and western Wisconsin on Sunday:

Sunday high temperature reports

National Weather Service

I’m sure a lot of people enjoyed the heat on Sunday, but snow lovers will be happy to hear that clearable snow is heading into Monday and Tuesday.

The big picture

Snow is expected to spread to Minnesota and parts of Wisconsin Sunday evening and Monday, then persist through much of Tuesday.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows the potential pattern for precipitation from 11 p.m. Sunday to 11 p.m. Tuesday:

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Simulated radar from Sunday 11 p.m. to Tuesday 11 p.m.

NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

The Twin Cities metropolitan area is expected to see more snow Tuesday than Monday.

Warnings and Notices

The National Weather Service included the northern half of the Twin Cities metro area, much of central Minnesota and parts of western Wisconsin in a winter storm warning Monday and Tuesday:

Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories Monday/Tuesday

National Weather Service

The winter storm warning and winter weather advisory begins at 3 p.m. Monday in the Twin Cities metro area and continues until midnight Tuesday evening. Advisories and warnings in western and central Minnesota begin at midnight Sunday evening and continue until 6 p.m. Tuesday.

Central Minnesota and parts of northwestern Wisconsin could see more than a foot of snow over the two-day period. Portions of the far northern metro could see 8 to 10 inches of snow, with the bulk of snow Monday evening and Tuesday. The winter weather advisory for the southern part of the metro area and southern Minnesota is for less snowfall amounts Monday and Tuesday; usually 4 to 6 inches for the total of two days. There may also be light freezing rain or freezing drizzle at times.

Here are the snowfall amounts forecast by the National Weather Service for Monday and Monday evening:

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Monday snow forecast

National Weather Service

And here are the snowfall amounts forecast for Tuesday:

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Tuesday snow forecast

National Weather Service

Winter storm warnings and winter weather advisories also cover parts of northeastern Minnesota and northwestern Wisconsin on Monday and Tuesday:

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Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories Monday/Tuesday

National Weather Service

Here are the forecast snowfall amounts for northeastern Minnesota and northwestern Wisconsin from Monday through Tuesday:

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Snow forecast Monday and Tuesday

National Weather Service

There are winter weather advisories and winter storm warnings in eastern North Dakota and northwestern Minnesota Monday through Tuesday:

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Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories Monday/Tuesday

National Weather Service

Here are the forecast snow totals for two days in northwestern Minnesota and eastern North Dakota:

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Snow forecast from Monday to Tuesday

National Weather Service

You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the Minnesota Public Radio News Network, and you can see updated weather information on the MPR News live weather blog.

Temperature trends

Some locations will see highs on Monday at 1 or 2 a.m. Monday’s DST highs will range from single digits in the north to 20 in southeastern Minnesota:

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Monday forecast highs

National Weather Service

Temperatures in the Twin Cities Metropolitan Area can be around 20 to 20 around 1 or 2 a.m. Monday, then daytime highs are expected to be around 20 degrees. Metro highs are expected to be mid-teens on Tuesday, then mid-teens on Wednesday, followed by mid-teens on Thursday and Friday.

Weather nugget

Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport has not seen a single day with 4 inches or more of fresh snow since December 10, 2021. MSP Airport recorded 11 inches of snow that day.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35am, 9:35am and 4:39pm every Saturday and Sunday.

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