The Himalayas should soon welcome winter; North, Central and West India are experiencing pleasant days

October is coming to an end and the weather in most parts of India is in a seasonal transition phase.

The Himalayas are set to welcome winter very soon as the temperatures are already dropping while the plains of North India, Central and West India are experiencing pleasant days and nights typical of winter weather. autumn for these regions.

Over the past week, most of the northern, central and western parts of India witnessed dry and clear weather conditions as no major weather system had influenced these parts after the retreat of the monsoon.

The southwest monsoon had withdrawn from across the country on October 22, delayed by at least a week as the normal pan-India withdrawal date is October 15.

(India 2022 South West Monsoon Withdrawal Status)

The Bay of Bengal hosted the first post-monsoon cyclone of the year named “Sitrang” last week, which is very usual at this time of the year, on Diwali day, i.e. the October 24, it made landfall in Bangladesh, so the coastal areas of India remained unchanged. in terms of direct impact.

After landfall in Bangladesh, the cyclonic storm gradually weakened into a depression and influenced the weather across northeast India during the period from 23 to 25 the states witnessed heavy rains to extremely abundant in many regions and the northeast of the country had to celebrate a wet Diwali this year.

The Himalayas set to welcome winter soon North-Central and Western India are experiencing pleasant days

(Trace of Cyclone Sitrang accompanied by the time series)

On record, Shillong received 196.7mm of rainfall in the span of 24 hours ending on October 25 at 8.30am, the highest one-day rainfall in October at least since 2011.
The all-time record has been 262.0 mm since October 8, 2004.

Very heavy to extremely heavy rains in the stations of northeastern India on October 25:
Mawphlang: 255.4 mm
Pynursla: 253.0mm
Guillaume Nagar; 225.0mm
Cherrapunji; 223.0mm
Sect Hills (Shillong); 212.0mm
Lumingshai; 198.9mm
Shillong; 196.7mm
Barapan: 178.2 mm
Mawkyrwat: 180.0mm

The nights have become noticeably cooler in the plains of northern India under the influence of the dry and cool winds from the northwest blowing in the region:

Top 10 coldest stations on October 29, Saturday:
Sikar: 10.5°C
Fatehpur Shekhawati: 12.6°C
Bathinda: 12.6°C
Jalandhar: 12.8°C
Lakhimpur Kheri: 13.0°c
Adampour: 13.1°c
Ritholi: 13.1°c
Churu: 13.5°C
Moga: 13.6°C
Firozpur: 13.8°C

As soon as the southwest monsoon withdrew from the peninsula, the autumn cold started up to the latitudes of Karnataka and Telangana, with the minimum temperature dropping considerably over the past week.

Belgaum in Karnataka recorded a minimum temperature of 12.4°C on October 24, narrowly missing the all-time record lowest minimum temperature of the month of 12.3°C since October 27, 2008.

Similarly, Hyderabad recorded a minimum temperature of 14.9C on October 24, marking the lowest October temperature at least since 2011.

The Indian Meteorological Department has declared the onset of northeast monsoon rains Under the influence of the installation of northeast winds in the lower tropospheric levels over the Bay of Bengal and the southern peninsula of India, the Northeast monsoon rains started on the coast of Tamil Nadu, Pondicherry and Karaikal and adjacent areas of southern coastal Andhra Pradesh on 29 October.

Weather conditions were mostly dry last week, but as soon as the northeast monsoon set in, the rains increased significantly over the past 24 hours:

Tamilnadu:
Cuddalore (dist Cuddalore): 80mm,

Pondicherry (dist Pondicherry): 70mm,

Cuddalore collectorate, Srimushnam (dist Cuddalore), Nanguneri (dist Tirunelveli): 60 mm each,

Marakkanam (dist. Villupuram): 50mm,

Vanur (dist Villupuram), Kurinjipadi (dist Cuddalore), Sethiathope (dist Cuddalore): 40 mm each,
Virudhachalam (dist Cuddalore), Bhuvanagiri (dist Cuddalore), Agaram Seegur (dist Perambalur): 30 mm each,

Neivasal Thenpathi (dist Thanjavur), Panruti (dist Cuddalore), Villupuram (dist Villupuram), Vedaranyam (dist Nagapattinam), Pelandurai (dist Cuddalore), Vallam (dist
Thanjavur), Uthangarai (dist Krishnagiri): 20 mm each,

Ulundurpet (dist Kallakurichi), Vepur (dist Cuddalore), Lalpet (dist Cuddalore), Labbaikudikadu (dist Perambalur), Thalaignayer (dist Nagapattinam), Radhapuram (dist Tirunelveli), Eraiyur (dist Perambalur), Chidambaram (dist Cuddalore), Thirupathisaram Aws (dist Kanyakumari), Tambaram (dist Chengalpattu), Thirupoondi (dist Nagapattinam), Kmkoil (dist Cuddalore), Perambalur (dist Perambalur), Sendurai (dist Ariyalur), Mannargudi (dist Tiruvarur), Gingee (dist Villupuram), Orthanad (dist Thanjavur): 10mm each.

Coastal Andhra Pradesh:
Sullurpeta (Spsr Nellore dist): 20mm, Gudur (Spsr Nellore dist): 10mm, Kavali (Spsr Nellore dist): 10mm, Venkatagiri (Spsr Nellore dist): 10mm, Udayagiri (Spsr Nellore dist): 10mm.

Rayalaseema:
Thottambedu (dist Chittoor): 30mm, Srikalahasti (dist Chittoor): 20mm, Tirupati Aero (dist Chittoor): 10mm, Kodur (dist Ysr District): 10mm, Kalakada (dist Chittoor): 10mm, Chinnamandem (dist Ysr District): 10mm

Rainfall performance after the monsoon season so far continues to remain in the great excess category across the country, with India as a whole recording total rainfall of 110.2 mm against the normal of 72, 7 mm during the period from October 1 to 29, the deviation from normal stands. at +52%.

Country-wide areas falling into the precipitation category:

Large surplus: 38% of India’s land area
Surplus: 28% India area
Normal: 23% of the area of ​​India
Deficient: 2% of India’s land area
Large Deficient: 9% of India’s land area
No rain: 0% zone in India.

Seasonal precipitation figures by subdivision

• Southern Peninsula: real 167.5 mm against an average of 143.6 mm, +17% deviation from normal.

• East and North-East India: 164.0 mm real against an average of 120.8 mm, +36% deviation from normal.

• Northwest India: real 64.3 mm against an average of 21.3 mm, +202% deviation from normal.

• Central India: real 93.2 mm against an average of 55.6 mm, +68% deviation from normal.

The Himalayas set to welcome winter soon North-Central and Western India are experiencing pleasant days

(Seasonal Precipitation Status Post Monsoon in Meteorological Subdivisions of India)

Current synoptic features influencing the weather in India on October 29:

• Under the influence of the installation of northeast winds in the lower tropospheric levels over the bay of
Bengal and southern peninsular India, northeast monsoon rains have started on the Tamil coast
Nadu, Pondicherry and Karaikal and adjacent areas of the southern coast of Andhra Pradesh today, October 29
2022.

• Cyclonic circulation over the southwest Bay of Bengal and neighboring Sri Lanka 1.5 km above
mean sea level persists.

• The cyclonic circulation over the southeast Bay of Bengal and the adjacent northern equatorial Indian Ocean
extending up to 1.5 km above mean sea level persists.

• A new Western Disturbance likely to affect the western Himalayan region from the night of October 31,
2022.

Weather forecast for all of India until November 5:

• The northeast monsoon is expected to start aggressively in southern India early next week as northeasterly winds are expected to strengthen further.
Widespread moderate rainfall with fairly widespread heavy rain likely over Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh coast, Rayalaseema, coast and interior of southern Karnataka and Kerala from 31 October to 3 November, some stations may experience very heavy rains during the period, also Chennai is expected to experience very heavy rains and the northeast monsoon will set in with a crash next week.

• Under the influence of cool western disturbances, a series of light to moderate snowfall is expected over parts of Kashmir, Ladakh and Himachal Pradesh and over parts of Uttarakhand during the period from October 31 to November 2.
The northern plains of India will not be affected by this western disturbance and weather conditions will continue to remain dry in Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh.

In quick succession, another western disturbance is expected to affect northwest India around November 5, this could bring rains for the plains, temperatures will start to drop significantly from the second week of November.

India’s central and eastern states will witness dry weather next week as no significant weather systems are affecting the region.
Under the influence of dry and cool northwesterly winds and clear skies overnight, the minimum temperature is expected to drop another 1-2°C in Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat and Maharashtra in the coming week days to stay nice too.

• North Eastern Indian states are out of the impact of Cyclone Sitrang and weather conditions have improved over the weekend following the trend of most states in the region experiencing dry weather with overnight temperatures dropping over the coming week to November 5, the chances of any significant rain due to the absence of any impacting weather systems.

The author, better known as Rohtak Weatherman, interprets and explains complex weather patterns. His @navdeepdahiya55 impact based predictions are very popular in North India.

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