Nor’Easter arrives in the coastal region, snow forecasts vary enormously; Winter storm watch issued – Lavallette-Seaside Shorebeat

Another calm night on Barnegat Bay (see video above) represented the calm before the Friday-Saturday storm that could dump just 4 to 6 inches — or as much as 15 inches — of snow on the Jersey Shore. In the meantime, a winter storm watch has been issued for the region.

Snowfall forecast for Jan. 28-29, 2022 ni’Easter. (Credit: NWS)

Forecasters said the patterns varied wildly from Wednesday to Thursday as they tracked a northeast that was expected to form when two storm systems combined around a deepening jet stream. The GFS and Canadian forecast models showed a total of about 6 inches of snow, which is falling significantly within a few miles of the coast. But the European model – famous for its correct prediction of Superstorm Sandy’s path and something of a darling of coastal weather watchers – provided the gigantic 15.5-inch prediction for coastal Ocean County. Most forecasters agree the total will be somewhere in the middle, although there’s a chance the storm will have much less impact, as a tiny change in course could drastically alter the amount of snowfall. who will fall.

The winter storm watch is in effect from Friday 7 p.m. to Saturday 7 p.m. According to the watch report issued by the National Weather Service office in Mount Holly, “heavy snow” is possible with accumulations of 6 to 12 inches. Winds will blow up to 45 mph and sometimes be higher on the coast.

“Travel could be very difficult, if not impossible,” the statement said.

Snow is expected to begin Friday evening in Delmarva and southern New Jersey, spreading north overnight through Saturday morning,” the NWS statement continued. “The snow can sometimes be heavy until mid-afternoon before decreasing on Saturday evening. Strong winds can generate blowing snow and very low visibilities at times. The forecast for total snowfall from the storm remains highly uncertain, so stay tuned for the latest forecast.

It is generally accepted that any precipitation that falls will be in the form of snow. No rain is forecast by the NWS; the service had previously predicted the system could start with a rainy spell on Friday. The current forecast is for Friday’s high to be 35 degrees with a low of 25 degrees, but snow is expected to start in the evening – later than expected. Saturday night’s overnight low will be 15 degrees with persistent strong winds, posing a threat of hypothermia to anyone exposed to the elements, the NWS said.

The snow will be completely gone by 1 a.m. Sunday. During the day on Sunday, sunny skies are expected to return, but with a high of only 28 degrees.

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